SFOE Energy Dashboard

Modelling the end-user Swiss electricity consumption

Started
January 1, 2023
Status
Completed
Share this project

Abstract

The electricity and gas crises in Europe and Switzerland during winter 2022 required exceptional measures to meet the demand and to cope with soaring energy prices. Due to this, Swiss policy makers and legislators were in urgent need of a near to real-time estimates of the national electricity consumption. In Switzerland, only the vertical load seen from the transmission network and the total national electricity consumption are published, and with major delays. Furthermore, at the end of August 2022 the Swiss government launched an energy saving campaign, calling for a quantification of the changes in electricity consumption habits of the Swiss population.

People

Collaborators

SDSC Team:
Silvia Quarteroni
Roberto Castello
Alessandro Mari
Carl Remlinger

PI | Partners:

Swiss Federal Office of Energy (BFE/OFEN)

Digital Innovation Office

Dr. Matthias Galus
Dr. Fabian Heymann

E-CUBE Strategy Consultants SA

Nicolas Charton
Yves Baudet

description

Objectives

Using a model (Generalized Additive Model or GAM) which learns from the Swiss historic national consumption provided by Swissgrid, we could predict the national electricity demand using as input also calendar and meteorological data (from MeteoSwiss). Moreover, we developed a bottom-up methodology to quantify changes in electricity consumption by the end-users. From individual load curves from smart meters of Distribution Network Operators, we extrapolate the load to the national level using scaling factors and corrections.

Benefits

The models to forecast the electricity demand at national level and to quantify the reduction of consumption have been integrated into the SFOE Energy Dashboard. The results of this project allowed to monitor the real-time electricity consumption and to quantify up to 6% energy saving by end-users after the launch of the Federal campaign. These examples prove how data science can support decision-making processes and can measure the effectiveness of large-scale policies implementation.

Notes

Special thanks to the OFEN Digital Innovation Office, particularly to Matthias Galus and Fabian Heymann, for the fruitful exchanges and to Nicolas Charton and Yves Baudet from E-CUBE Strategy Consultants SA for their shared advice and expertise during the entire project.

Gallery

Cover image source: Adobe Stock

Annexe

Additional resources

Bibliography

Publications

More projects

Enhancing resource efficiency

Completed
Data science for enhancing resource efficiency in manufacturing processes
Energy & Sustainability
Private sector

Sustainable ingredients

Completed
Leveraging AI to foster sustainable consumer goods
Energy & Sustainability
Private sector

Patterns of violence

Completed
Monitoring patterns of violence with the ICRC
Digital Society
NGO

Standardizing Job Titles

Completed
Job title standardization through entity alignment of knowledge graphs
Digital Society
Private sector

News

Latest news

First National Calls: 50 selected projects to start in 2025
March 12, 2025

First National Calls: 50 selected projects to start in 2025

First National Calls: 50 selected projects to start in 2025

50 proposals were selected through the review processes of the SDSC's first National Calls.
AIXD | Generative AI toolbox for architects and engineers
January 22, 2025

AIXD | Generative AI toolbox for architects and engineers

AIXD | Generative AI toolbox for architects and engineers

Introducing AIXD (AI-eXtended Design), a toolbox for forward and inverse modeling for exhaustive design exploration.

Contact us

Let’s talk Data Science

Do you need our services or expertise?
Contact us for your next Data Science project!